Experts are observing significant similarities between the current price cycle of Bitcoin (BTC) and historical trends. Cryptocurrency Bitcoin might reach a new record high of $170,000 by the end of March 2025, according to trading specialist Trader Tardigrade, who has compared the price behaviour of Bitcoin in January 2024 and January 2025.
Historical parallels fuel optimism
Bitcoin collapsed severely in January 2024 but recovered strongly, achieving considerable gains by March. Analysts are projecting a possible rally in January 2025 if historical patterns continue, and the continuing recovery seems to be following a similar trajectory. In 2024 and 2025, there were breakdowns in January, but both years saw strong rebounds. The expert predicted that Bitcoin would hit $170,000 by March’s end if it maintains its January–March trend.
The ‘March Effect,’ a pattern seen in each of the last four bull markets for Bitcoin, has been uncovered by TradingShot, which adds further nuance to this investigation. The 100-day moving average (1D MA100) in January usually acts as a support for Bitcoin throughout these cycles. The moving average will provide new support for further gains after it surpasses this critical level.
Technical analysis market
The first consolidation phase typically begins in January and is characterized by a retest of the 1D MA100. After this, the market starts to rise again, with a second consolidation phase occurring in March that often marks a price top. According to TradingShot, the 1D MA100 was almost tested on January 13, 2025, which meant the March Effect was about to start. Trader Tardigrade has raised the prediction to $170,000, assuming the present trend continues.
While the study predicts a peak of $130,000 in March, technical analysis in the market involves analyzing past price movements, chart patterns, and indicators to forecast future price trends. Traders use tools like moving averages, RSI, and MACD to identify potential buy or sell signals. It’s based on the belief that market trends, once established, tend to continue.
Broader BTC price predictions
Even if this study is bullish, other analysts think Bitcoin can go even higher. The bull market for cryptocurrencies will reach $300,000 by March 30, 2025, according to crypto expert Van Lagen. The market value of Bitcoin might reach an estimated $6 trillion if its price were to hit, an increase of 185% from its current level. Some financial analysts are so bullish that they predict.
Bitcoin’s value might reach $300,000 by 2025’s end. But more pessimistic predictions indicate that, under a bearish situation, the cryptocurrency price may fall below $39,500. Forecasts for Bitcoin’s price this year range from an average of $80,167 to a high of $185,000, suggesting that the cryptocurrency will likely experience substantial volatility in the coming months.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin has gained 10% so far this year, and it is now trading at $104,961 as of this writing. The leading cryptocurrency has seen a small rise of 0.1% on the one-day chart, indicating a steady but muted upward trend. Despite the consistent increase, the market might be waiting for a major catalyst to reignite Bitcoin’s momentum, according to the cryptocurrency’s recent movements.
According to analysts, possible catalysts for the next major shift include changes in the macroeconomy, heightened institutional interest, or a boom in retail activity. With investors’ hopes still high, the next few months will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin experiences a resurgence in momentum or more consolidation.